Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.11
Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa preview and prediction
The match
Pouso Alegre host Portuguesa in the Serie D on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Do Manduzao.
Form guide
Portuguesa's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Paysandu 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Pouso Alegre and 1.5 for Portuguesa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Portuguesa to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pouso Alegre 0–1 Portuguesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pouso Alegre13%fair 7.77 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Portuguesa63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
2.06Expected goals
0.53Pouso Alegre xG
1.53Portuguesa xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Pouso Alegre 0.5 – 1.5 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa to win✓
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Portuguesa or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.11
–
Form
Pouso Alegre – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Uberlandia
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Portuguesa – last 3
LWW
18 Mar
vs Paysandu
2–3
L
27 Feb
vs Altos
5–1
W
16 Feb
@ Mirassol
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pouso Alegre and Portuguesa.
What is the prediction for Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
Our pick is Portuguesa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
On our numbers Pouso Alegre have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portuguesa 63%.
How many goals will there be in Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
Our predicted score is Pouso Alegre 0–1 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Do Manduzao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Do Manduzao
Água Santa4
Madureira1
Aparecidense1
Primavera MG1
Iguatu2
Parnahyba2
Joinville2
Guarany de Bagé0
ABECAT Ouvidorense2
Ipatinga1
Porto BA1
Tombense3
Vitória ES1
Real Noroeste1
ASA0
CSE0