Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitória ES to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceVitória ES or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09
Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste preview and prediction
The match
Vitória ES host Real Noroeste in the Serie D on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Vitória ES's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sport Brasil ES 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Vitória ES and 0.5 for Real Noroeste. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitória ES 63%, draw 25%, Real Noroeste 12%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vitória ES to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Vitória ES 1–0 Real Noroeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitória ES63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Real Noroeste12%fair 8.01 · @6.00
2.06Expected goals
1.54Vitória ES xG
0.52Real Noroeste xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vitória ES 1.5 – 0.5 Real Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória ES to win✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Double chance
Vitória ES or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.09
–
Form
Vitória ES – last 6
WWWDWL
27 May
vs Sport Brasil ES
5–0
W
24 May
@ Rio Branco ES
2–0
W
20 May
vs Serra Talhada
3–2
W
13 May
@ Rio Branco ES
2–2
D
7 May
vs Audax São Mateus
3–1
W
5 May
@ Democrata GV
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Noroeste – last 2
LW
7 Apr
@ Democrata GV
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Serra Talhada
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória ES and Real Noroeste.
What is the prediction for Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?
Our pick is Vitória ES to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?
On our numbers Vitória ES have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Noroeste 12%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?
Our predicted score is Vitória ES 1–0 Real Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?
Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Água Santa4
Madureira1
Aparecidense1
Primavera MG1
Iguatu2
Parnahyba2
Joinville2
Guarany de Bagé0
ABECAT Ouvidorense2
Ipatinga1
Porto BA1
Tombense3
Pouso Alegre1
Portuguesa2
ASA0
CSE0