Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIguatu to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Iguatu vs Parnahyba preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Iguatu take on Parnahyba on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.
Form guide
Parnahyba's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Maracanã 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Iguatu and 0.7 for Parnahyba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iguatu 59%, draw 20%, Parnahyba 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iguatu to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Iguatu 1–0 Parnahyba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iguatu59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.10
Parnahyba21%fair 4.84 · @4.80
2.19Expected goals
1.49Iguatu xG
0.70Parnahyba xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Iguatu 1.5 – 0.7 Parnahyba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iguatu to win✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iguatu / FT Iguatu✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Iguatu
No recent results on record.
Parnahyba – last 4
LLDL
24 May
vs Maracanã
0–1
L
17 May
@ Sampaio Correa
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Teresina Esporte Club
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Fluminense PI
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iguatu and Parnahyba.
Our pick is Iguatu to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
On our numbers Iguatu have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Parnahyba 21%.
How many goals will there be in Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
Our predicted score is Iguatu 1–0 Parnahyba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
Iguatu vs Parnahyba (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello
Água Santa4
Madureira1
Aparecidense1
Primavera MG1
Joinville2
Guarany de Bagé0
ABECAT Ouvidorense2
Ipatinga1
Porto BA1
Tombense3
Pouso Alegre1
Portuguesa2
Vitória ES1
Real Noroeste1
ASA0
CSE0