XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
XV de Piracicaba to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultXV de Piracicaba to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceXV de Piracicaba or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste preview and prediction
The match
XV de Piracicaba host Noroeste in the Serie D on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.
Form guide
XV de Piracicaba's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Velo Clube 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for XV de Piracicaba and 0.6 for Noroeste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: XV de Piracicaba 61%, draw 25%, Noroeste 14%.
Safer route: XV de Piracicaba or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was XV de Piracicaba to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: XV de Piracicaba 1–0 Noroeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
XV de Piracicaba61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Noroeste14%fair 7.32 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.62XV de Piracicaba xG
0.63Noroeste xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: XV de Piracicaba 1.6 – 0.6 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
XV de Piracicaba to win✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
XV de Piracicaba or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT XV de Piracicaba / FT XV de Piracicaba✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Form
XV de Piracicaba – last 6
DWWLDL
23 May
@ Velo Clube
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Água Santa
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Ituano
3–0
W
26 Mar
vs Votuporanguense
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Ituano
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Juventus
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Noroeste – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Primavera SP
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between XV de Piracicaba and Noroeste.
What is the prediction for XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
Our pick is XV de Piracicaba to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
On our numbers XV de Piracicaba have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Noroeste 14%.
How many goals will there be in XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
Our predicted score is XV de Piracicaba 1–0 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
XV de Piracicaba vs Noroeste (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.