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Serie D · Brazil

CFRJ Maricá

WWWWL
1–0
FT

Nova Iguaçu

LWDDL

CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu prediction & analysis

52%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 2.30 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCFRJ Maricá to win ✓37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.50

CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu preview and prediction

The match

CFRJ Maricá host Nova Iguaçu in the Serie D on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT).

Form guide

CFRJ Maricá's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Olaria 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Nova Iguaçu's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Fortaleza EC 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

CFRJ Maricá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Nova Iguaçu 0–1 CFRJ Maricá.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for CFRJ Maricá and 1.0 for Nova Iguaçu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CFRJ Maricá 1–1 Nova Iguaçu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CFRJ Maricá37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.50
Nova Iguaçu35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
2.06Expected goals
1.05CFRJ Maricá xG
1.01Nova Iguaçu xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: CFRJ Maricá 1.0 – 1.0 Nova Iguaçu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCFRJ Maricá to win ✓37%2.732.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.44
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.50–

Form

CFRJ Maricá – last 6

WWWWLL
27 Mayvs Olaria2–1W
20 May@ América RJ1–0W
13 Mayvs São Gonçalo EC RJ1–0W
6 Mayvs Cabofriense1–0W
26 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–2L
23 Febvs Portuguesa RJ0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nova Iguaçu – last 5

LWDDL
17 Marvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
12 Mar@ Castanhal4–0W
26 Febvs Portuguesa RJ1–1D
24 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
16 Febvs CFRJ Maricá0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Nova Iguaçu v CFRJ Maricá0–1
CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Água Santa4 Madureira1 161%1.62X23%3.10215%5.50 1Água Santa to win 61%@1.62 ✓
FT Aparecidense1 Primavera MG1 160%1.85X26%3.00214%3.80 1XAparecidense or draw 86%@1.22 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Parnahyba2 159%1.67X20%3.10221%4.80 1Iguatu to win 59%@1.67 ✗
FT Joinville2 Guarany de Bagé0 166%1.44X23%3.25211%8.00 1Joinville to win 66%@1.44 ✓
FT ABECAT Ouvidorense2 Ipatinga1 133%2.90X27%2.60240%2.45 NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.65 ✗
FT Porto BA1 Tombense3 122%3.70X22%3.10256%1.91 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Pouso Alegre1 Portuguesa2 113%4.60X25%2.90263%1.75 2Portuguesa to win 63%@1.75 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Real Noroeste1 163%1.50X25%3.50212%6.00 1Vitória ES to win 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.

Who will win CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

On our numbers CFRJ Maricá have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nova Iguaçu 35%.

How many goals will there be in CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

Our predicted score is CFRJ Maricá 1–1 Nova Iguaçu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu?

CFRJ Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.