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Today's tips
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil

Fortaleza EC

WWDLD
2–0
FT

Sport Recife

WWWWD

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Fortaleza EC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife preview and prediction

The match

Sport Recife travel to face Fortaleza EC in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 30 April (01:30 WAT).

Form guide

Fortaleza EC's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat CRB 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Sport Recife's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Novorizontino 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sport Recife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Fortaleza EC and 0.8 for Sport Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Fortaleza EC or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sport Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Fortaleza EC56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Sport Recife19%fair 5.21 · @3.70
2.44Expected goals
1.61Fortaleza EC xG
0.83Sport Recife xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.6 – 0.8 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortaleza EC to win ✓56%1.781.95 ▲
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.10–

Form

Fortaleza EC – last 6

WWDLDW
23 Aprvs CRB2–1W
20 Aprvs Criciuma3–2W
16 Apr@ America-RN1–1D
9 Apr@ Ceara0–2L
31 Marvs Cuiaba0–0D
28 Marvs Imperatriz2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sport Recife – last 6

WWWWDW
26 Aprvs Novorizontino1–0W
16 Aprvs Maranhão5–0W
9 Aprvs Retrô3–0W
5 Apr@ Londrina2–1W
1 Aprvs Vila Nova1–1D
29 Mar@ ABC1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and Sport Recife.

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Retrô2 America-RN1 141%2.55X24%3.10235%2.55 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.42 ✓
FT Piauí1 AO Itabaiana1 137%2.70X25%3.00238%2.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Maranhão1 Ceara3 111%8.00X23%3.90267%1.40 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Juazeirense1 ASA1 134%2.45X24%2.88242%2.90 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.55 ✓
FT Jacuipense0 Imperatriz1 162%1.95X25%3.10214%3.75 1XJacuipense or draw 86%@1.20 ✗
FT CRB3 Sousa0 161%1.95X25%3.10214%3.75 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Confiança2 Vitoria2 133%3.25X24%2.88243%2.25 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.45 ✓
FT Botafogo PB1 Fluminense PI1 171%1.25X22%4.6027%11.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Our pick is Fortaleza EC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sport Recife 19%.

How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.