Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: ASA to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Juazeirense vs ASA preview and prediction
The match
Juazeirense host ASA in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Juazeirense's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Sousa 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
ASA's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat CRB 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ASA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Juazeirense and 1.3 for ASA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juazeirense 34%, draw 24%, ASA 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: ASA to win at 2.90 – 42% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Juazeirense 1–1 ASA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juazeirense34%fair 2.95 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.88
ASA42%fair 2.36 · @2.90
2.49Expected goals
1.16Juazeirense xG
1.33ASA xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juazeirense 1.2 – 1.3 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✗
42%
2.36
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Juazeirense – last 6
DLWDWD
15 Apr
@ Sousa
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Vitoria
1–4
L
29 Mar
vs AO Itabaiana
3–0
W
25 Mar
@ Fluminense PI
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Porto BA
3–1
W
19 Feb
@ Barcelona BA
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ASA – last 6
WLWWWL
9 Apr
vs CRB
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs CSA
2–3
L
24 Mar
vs Piauí
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Miguelense
6–0
W
2 Mar
@ Penedense
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Operario Ferroviario
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juazeirense and ASA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Juazeirense vs ASA?
On our numbers Juazeirense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ASA 42%.
How many goals will there be in Juazeirense vs ASA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juazeirense vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Juazeirense 1–1 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juazeirense vs ASA?
Juazeirense vs ASA (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Retrô2
America-RN1
Piauí1
AO Itabaiana1
Maranhão1
Ceara3
Jacuipense0
Imperatriz1
Fortaleza EC2
Sport Recife0
CRB3
Sousa0
Confiança2
Vitoria2
Botafogo PB1
Fluminense PI1