Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil

Maranhão

WLLLD
1–3
FT

Ceara

LWWWD

Maranhão vs Ceara prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultCeara to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceCeara or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.30

Maranhão vs Ceara preview and prediction

The match

Ceara travel to face Maranhão in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 30 April (01:30 WAT).

Form guide

Maranhão's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Volta Redonda 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Ceara's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Ceara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Maranhão 0–1 Ceara.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Maranhão and 2.2 for Ceara. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Maranhão 0–2 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Maranhão11%fair 9.49 · @8.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.90
Ceara67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
2.98Expected goals
0.80Maranhão xG
2.18Ceara xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%

From our goals model: Maranhão 0.8 – 2.2 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeara to win ✓67%1.491.40
Double chanceCeara or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.822.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.28
Half-time resultCeara ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ceara / FT Ceara ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12%8.30–

Form

Maranhão – last 6

WLLLDL
25 Aprvs Volta Redonda2–1W
19 Apr@ Amazonas0–2L
16 Apr@ Sport Recife0–5L
12 Apr@ Barra0–3L
8 Apr@ Imperatriz1–1D
25 Mar@ America-RN0–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ceara – last 6

LWWWDD
23 Apr@ Atletico-MG1–2L
15 Aprvs Jacuipense4–1W
12 Aprvs Nautico Recife1–0W
9 Aprvs Fortaleza EC2–0W
2 Apr@ Ponte Preta1–1D
25 Marvs ABC1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Mar 2026Maranhão v Ceara0–1
Maranhão vs Ceara head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Retrô2 America-RN1 141%2.55X24%3.10235%2.55 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.42 ✓
FT Piauí1 AO Itabaiana1 137%2.70X25%3.00238%2.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Juazeirense1 ASA1 134%2.45X24%2.88242%2.90 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.55 ✓
FT Jacuipense0 Imperatriz1 162%1.95X25%3.10214%3.75 1XJacuipense or draw 86%@1.20 ✗
FT Fortaleza EC2 Sport Recife0 156%1.95X25%3.10219%3.70 1XFortaleza EC or draw 81%@1.20 ✓
FT CRB3 Sousa0 161%1.95X25%3.10214%3.75 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Confiança2 Vitoria2 133%3.25X24%2.88243%2.25 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.45 ✓
FT Botafogo PB1 Fluminense PI1 171%1.25X22%4.6027%11.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maranhão vs Ceara?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Maranhão vs Ceara?

On our numbers Maranhão have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ceara 67%.

How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Ceara?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Ceara?

Our predicted score is Maranhão 0–2 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Maranhão vs Ceara?

Maranhão vs Ceara (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.