Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAO Itabaiana to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Piauí vs AO Itabaiana preview and prediction
The match
Piauí host AO Itabaiana in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Piauí's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Vitoria 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AO Itabaiana's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Botafogo PB 3–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Piauí arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Piauí and 1.1 for AO Itabaiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piauí 37%, draw 25%, AO Itabaiana 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Piauí 1–1 AO Itabaiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piauí37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
AO Itabaiana38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
2.28Expected goals
1.14Piauí xG
1.14AO Itabaiana xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Piauí 1.1 – 1.1 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AO Itabaiana to win✗
38%
2.66
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AO Itabaiana / FT AO Itabaiana✗
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Piauí – last 6
LLLWLW
16 Apr
@ Vitoria
1–3
L
8 Apr
@ Fluminense PI
0–2
L
24 Mar
@ ASA
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Atlético Piauiense
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Betim
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Oeirense
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
DLLLLD
22 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
3–3
D
12 Apr
vs Ypiranga-RS
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Confiança
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Santa Cruz
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Juazeirense
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs CRB
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piauí and AO Itabaiana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Piauí have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AO Itabaiana 38%.
How many goals will there be in Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Piauí 1–1 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?
Piauí vs AO Itabaiana (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Retrô2
America-RN1
Maranhão1
Ceara3
Juazeirense1
ASA1
Jacuipense0
Imperatriz1
Fortaleza EC2
Sport Recife0
CRB3
Sousa0
Confiança2
Vitoria2
Botafogo PB1
Fluminense PI1