Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRetrô to win ✓41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Retrô vs America-RN preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Nordeste sees Retrô take on America-RN on Thursday 30 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Arena Pernambuco.
Form guide
Retrô's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Ferroviario 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
America-RN's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to ABC 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Retrô and 1.0 for America-RN. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Retrô 41%, draw 24%, America-RN 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Retrô 1–1 America-RN. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Retrô41%fair 2.44 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
America-RN35%fair 2.87 · @2.55
2.22Expected goals
1.17Retrô xG
1.05America-RN xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Retrô 1.2 – 1.0 America-RN expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Retrô to win✓
41%
2.44
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Retrô / FT Retrô✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Retrô – last 4
DLWL
15 Apr
@ Ferroviario
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–3
L
24 Mar
@ Imperatriz
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Uberlandia
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America-RN – last 6
LDLDWD
22 Apr
vs ABC
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs ABC
0–3
L
30 Mar
@ Jacuipense
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Maranhão
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs ABC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Retrô and America-RN.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Retrô vs America-RN?
On our numbers Retrô have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and America-RN 35%.
How many goals will there be in Retrô vs America-RN?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Retrô vs America-RN?
Our predicted score is Retrô 1–1 America-RN, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Retrô vs America-RN?
Retrô vs America-RN (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pernambuco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Arena Pernambuco
Piauí1
AO Itabaiana1
Maranhão1
Ceara3
Juazeirense1
ASA1
Jacuipense0
Imperatriz1
Fortaleza EC2
Sport Recife0
CRB3
Sousa0
Confiança2
Vitoria2
Botafogo PB1
Fluminense PI1