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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Deportivo Recoleta

WDDWL
0–0
FT

Deportivo Cuenca

LLWWL

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction

The match

The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Deportivo Recoleta take on Deportivo Cuenca on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. Deportivo Recoleta are 1st with 8 points from 6 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 4th on 6 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat 2 de Mayo 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Orense SC 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Deportivo Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Recoleta40%fair 2.47 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Deportivo Cuenca35%fair 2.86 · @3.35
2.23Expected goals
1.17Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.06Deportivo Cuenca xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.2 – 1.1 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗40%2.472.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.00
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Recoleta / FT Deportivo Recoleta ✗22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.94–

Form

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

WDDWLW
19 Aprvs 2 de Mayo5–0W
15 Apr@ Santos1–1D
8 Aprvs San Lorenzo1–1D
5 Aprvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo4–2W
31 Mar@ Libertad Asuncion0–1L
27 Marvs Rubio NU1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LLWWLD
22 Aprvs Orense SC1–3L
17 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–2L
8 Aprvs Santos1–0W
5 Apr@ Emelec2–0W
17 Mar@ Universidad Catolica0–1L
14 Marvs Leones del Norte1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Recoleta and Deportivo Cuenca.

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Recoleta6150+18
2Santos6141+27
3San Lorenzo6141+17
4Deportivo Cuenca6132-46

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

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FT Barracas Central1 A. Italiano1 135%2.10X25%3.05239%3.80 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Millonarios0 Sao Paulo0 158%1.81X20%3.45222%4.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 167%1.62X23%3.65210%5.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 117%4.80X19%3.55263%1.73 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo Riestra2 Atletico Torque1 131%2.18X24%2.98246%3.65 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.40 ✗
FT Juventud4 Puerto Cabello0 140%2.00X24%3.15236%3.90 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Cuenca 35%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.