Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Puerto Cabello to win @ 3.90 – our chance 36% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.00
Juventud vs Puerto Cabello preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Juventud take on Puerto Cabello on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Juventud are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Puerto Cabello sit 4th on 7 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juventud's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Penarol 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Puerto Cabello's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Trujillanos FC 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Puerto Cabello arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Juventud and 1.1 for Puerto Cabello. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventud 40%, draw 24%, Puerto Cabello 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Puerto Cabello to win at 3.90 – 36% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Juventud 1–1 Puerto Cabello. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventud40%fair 2.52 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Puerto Cabello36%fair 2.78 · @3.90
2.21Expected goals
1.14Juventud xG
1.07Puerto Cabello xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.1 – 1.1 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud to win✓
40%
2.52
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud / FT Juventud✓
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.00
–
Form
Juventud – last 6
DLDLLL
21 Apr
@ Penarol
2–2
D
16 Apr
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Boston River
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Cerro
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Albion FC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puerto Cabello – last 6
WLWLDW
21 Apr
vs Trujillanos FC
3–1
W
17 Apr
@ Cienciano
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
1–2
L
23 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs UCV
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Puerto Cabello.
What is the prediction for Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
On our numbers Juventud have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puerto Cabello 36%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
Juventud vs Puerto Cabello (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.