Value bet: Racing Club to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Club to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceRacing Club or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Caracas FC vs Racing Club preview and prediction
The match
Caracas FC host Racing Club in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Caracas FC are 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while Racing Club sit 3rd on 8 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caracas FC's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Zamora FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Racing Club's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Barracas Central 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Caracas FC and 1.8 for Racing Club. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 17%, draw 19%, Racing Club 63%.
Safer route: Racing Club or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Racing Club to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Caracas FC 0–1 Racing Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC17%fair 5.77 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.55
Racing Club63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
2.56Expected goals
0.77Caracas FC xG
1.79Racing Club xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 0.8 – 1.8 Racing Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Club to win✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Racing Club or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Racing Club ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Club / FT Racing Club✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
Caracas FC – last 6
DWLDWD
20 Apr
@ Zamora FC
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Academia Anzoátegui
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Botafogo
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Metropolitanos FC
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Monagas SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Racing Club – last 6
DLLWWW
25 Apr
vs Barracas Central
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Botafogo
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs River Plate
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs San Martin Formosa
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Belgrano Cordoba
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Racing Club.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Racing Club 63%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 0–1 Racing Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
Caracas FC vs Racing Club (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.