Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 3.65 – our chance 46% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +67%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✗46% · @3.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Torque travel to Pedro Bidegain in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 29 April (23:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Riestra. Deportivo Riestra are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Atletico Torque sit 1st on 13 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Talleres Cordoba 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Atletico Torque's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Boston River 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.6 for Deportivo Riestra and 0.9 for Atletico Torque. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Atletico Torque to win at 3.65 – 46% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Atletico Torque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Riestra31%fair 3.27 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.98
Atletico Torque46%fair 2.19 · @3.65
1.50Expected goals
0.62Deportivo Riestra xG
0.88Atletico Torque xG
45%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–120%
1–014%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.6 – 0.9 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✗
46%
2.19
3.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.10
–
Form
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
LLDDLD
20 Apr
@ Talleres Cordoba
0–2
L
14 Apr
@ Gremio
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Palestino
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs San Lorenzo
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
WDWWLL
24 Apr
vs Boston River
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Palestino
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Gremio
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–3
L
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Torque 46%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?
Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Pedro Bidegain.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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