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Today's tips
CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Florencio Sola

Barracas Central

DDDWD
1–1
FT

A. Italiano

DLWLL

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 3.80 – our chance 39% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +50%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultA. Italiano to win ✗39% · @3.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.59

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano preview and prediction

The match

Barracas Central host A. Italiano in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Florencio Sola. Barracas Central are 4th with 3 points from 6 games, while A. Italiano sit 3rd on 7 points.

Form guide

Barracas Central's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Racing Club 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

A. Italiano's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Deportes Limache 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Barracas Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Barracas Central and 1.0 for A. Italiano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Barracas Central 0–0 A. Italiano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Barracas Central35%fair 2.84 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.05
A. Italiano39%fair 2.54 · @3.80
1.85Expected goals
0.89Barracas Central xG
0.96A. Italiano xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%

From our goals model: Barracas Central 0.9 – 1.0 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA. Italiano to win ✗39%2.543.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.731.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.171.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.59–

Form

Barracas Central – last 6

DDDWDL
25 Apr@ Racing Club1–1D
20 Aprvs Belgrano Cordoba0–0D
16 Apr@ Olimpia0–0D
12 Apr@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1W
7 Aprvs Vasco DA Gama0–0D
2 Aprvs Sarmiento Junin1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

A. Italiano – last 6

DLWLLL
25 Aprvs Deportes Limache2–2D
20 Apr@ Huachipato2–3L
15 Apr@ Vasco DA Gama2–1W
9 Aprvs Olimpia0–2L
4 Apr@ O'Higgins1–2L
31 Marvs Universidad de Chile1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barracas Central and A. Italiano.

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia6411+413
2Vasco DA Gama6312+410
3A. Italiano6213-27
4Barracas Central6033-63

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Millonarios0 Sao Paulo0 158%1.81X20%3.45222%4.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Deportivo Recoleta0 Deportivo Cuenca0 140%2.20X25%3.10235%3.35 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 167%1.62X23%3.65210%5.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 117%4.80X19%3.55263%1.73 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo Riestra2 Atletico Torque1 131%2.18X24%2.98246%3.65 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.40 ✗
FT Juventud4 Puerto Cabello0 140%2.00X24%3.15236%3.90 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

On our numbers Barracas Central have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and A. Italiano 39%.

How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

Our predicted score is Barracas Central 0–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Florencio Sola.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.