Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: O'Higgins to win @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultO'Higgins to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceO'Higgins or draw ✓90% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.49
O'Higgins vs Boston River preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees O'Higgins take on Boston River on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at El Teniente. O'Higgins are 2nd with 10 points from 6 games, while Boston River sit 4th on 3 points.
Form guide
O'Higgins's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Boston River's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
O'Higgins arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.6 for O'Higgins and 0.4 for Boston River. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: O'Higgins 67%, draw 23%, Boston River 10%.
Safer route: O'Higgins or draw (90%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: O'Higgins to win at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: O'Higgins 1–0 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
O'Higgins67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.65
Boston River10%fair 10.48 · @5.50
1.94Expected goals
1.55O'Higgins xG
0.39Boston River xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: O'Higgins 1.6 – 0.4 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
O'Higgins to win✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
O'Higgins or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT O'Higgins / FT O'Higgins✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.49
–
Form
O'Higgins – last 6
LLWWWW
14 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
11 Apr
vs Huachipato
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Millonarios
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs A. Italiano
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Palestino
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Everton de Vina
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 6
LWLLWL
24 Apr
@ Atletico Torque
1–4
L
20 Apr
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Millonarios
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Juventud
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Penarol
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O'Higgins and Boston River.
What is the prediction for O'Higgins vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win O'Higgins vs Boston River?
On our numbers O'Higgins have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boston River 10%.
How many goals will there be in O'Higgins vs Boston River?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O'Higgins vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is O'Higgins 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is O'Higgins vs Boston River?
O'Higgins vs Boston River (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at El Teniente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barracas Central1
A. Italiano1
Deportivo Recoleta0
Deportivo Cuenca0
Caracas FC1
Racing Club1
Deportivo Riestra2
Atletico Torque1
Juventud4
Puerto Cabello0