Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win ✗58% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Millonarios vs Sao Paulo preview and prediction
The match
Sao Paulo travel to Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 29 April (01:30 WAT) to face Millonarios. Millonarios are 3rd with 8 points from 6 games, while Sao Paulo sit 1st on 12 points.
Form guide
Millonarios's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Deportes Tolima 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sao Paulo's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Mirassol 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sao Paulo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Millonarios and 0.7 for Sao Paulo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millonarios 58%, draw 20%, Sao Paulo 22%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Millonarios 1–0 Sao Paulo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millonarios58%fair 1.72 · @1.81
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.45
Sao Paulo22%fair 4.48 · @4.40
2.20Expected goals
1.46Millonarios xG
0.73Sao Paulo xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.5 – 0.7 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✗
58%
1.72
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
Millonarios – last 6
WLWLLD
24 Apr
vs Deportes Tolima
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–3
L
16 Apr
vs Boston River
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sao Paulo – last 6
WWWWDL
26 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Juventude
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Internacional
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Sao Paulo.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sao Paulo 22%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
Millonarios vs Sao Paulo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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