Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Belgrano to win ✗62% · @1.42
Double chanceSportivo Belgrano or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.02
Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sportivo Belgrano take on Independiente De Chivilcoy on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Oscar C. Boero. Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Independiente De Chivilcoy sit 25th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with El Linqueño 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente De Chivilcoy's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Douglas Haig 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Belgrano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Sportivo Belgrano and 0.5 for Independiente De Chivilcoy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Sportivo Belgrano 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Belgrano62%fair 1.61 · @1.42
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
Independiente De Chivilcoy13%fair 7.75 · @8.00
2.03Expected goals
1.51Sportivo Belgrano xG
0.52Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sportivo Belgrano 1.5 – 0.5 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Belgrano to win✗
62%
1.61
1.42
Double chance
Sportivo Belgrano or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Belgrano / FT Sportivo Belgrano✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.02
–
Form
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DDWLWW
28 Jun
@ El Linqueño
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
24 May
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
LLDDDD
28 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
24 May
@ Atletico Escobar
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Belgrano and Independiente De Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Sportivo Belgrano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Belgrano 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Oscar C. Boero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
