Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela preview and prediction
The match
9 de Julio Rafaela travel to Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 5 July (19:00 WAT) to face Gimnasia Concepción. Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while 9 de Julio Rafaela sit 14th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Escobar 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Gimnasia Concepción and 0.8 for 9 de Julio Rafaela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia Concepción 59%, draw 20%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Gimnasia Concepción 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Concepción59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.25
9 de Julio Rafaela21%fair 4.79 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.62Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.819 de Julio Rafaela xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.6 – 0.8 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Concepción to win✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Concepción / FT Gimnasia Concepción✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.03
–
Form
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
LLDWDW
28 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
1–0
W
31 May
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
24 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WWLDDL
28 Jun
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–1
W
23 Jun
vs El Linqueño
3–2
W
13 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2–2
D
31 May
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
2–2
D
24 May
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Concepción and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
