Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Atenas to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtenas to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.84
Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Atenas take on Fundacion Amigos on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Julio. Atenas are 18th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Fundacion Amigos sit 21st on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Deportivo Rincon 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fundacion Amigos's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Cipolletti 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Atenas and 0.5 for Fundacion Amigos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Atenas to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.88
Fundacion Amigos13%fair 7.61 · @4.50
1.95Expected goals
1.45Atenas xG
0.50Fundacion Amigos xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.5 – 0.5 Fundacion Amigos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Atenas or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.84
–
Form
Atenas – last 6
WDLDLW
27 Jun
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Costa Brava
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs San Martín Mendoza
0–0
D
24 May
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
17 May
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fundacion Amigos – last 6
DDDWWL
27 Jun
vs Cipolletti
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
2–2
D
24 May
vs Costa Brava
2–0
W
17 May
vs Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Fundacion Amigos.
What is the prediction for Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?
On our numbers Atenas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fundacion Amigos 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?
Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Julio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
