Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Villa Mitre to win @ 3.70 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Mitre to win ✗37% · @3.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.68
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Olimpo Bahia Blanca take on Villa Mitre on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti. Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st with 31 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Villa Mitre sit 16th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Circulo Deportivo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa Mitre's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Alvarado 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa Mitre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.7 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca and 0.7 for Villa Mitre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Villa Mitre to win at 3.70 – 37% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–0 Villa Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpo Bahia Blanca35%fair 2.84 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.60
Villa Mitre37%fair 2.68 · @3.70
1.42Expected goals
0.69Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
0.73Villa Mitre xG
41%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–024%
0–118%
1–017%
1–112%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.7 – 0.7 Villa Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Mitre to win✗
37%
2.68
3.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.68
–
Form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6
DDDDLD
28 Jun
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sol de Mayo
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Guillermo Brown
0–0
D
24 May
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
17 May
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villa Mitre – last 6
WWDDWW
28 Jun
vs Alvarado
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
25 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Villa Mitre.
What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa Mitre 37%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–0 Villa Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
