Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sol de Mayo take on Kimberley Mar del Plata on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sol De Mayo. Sol de Mayo are 28th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kimberley Mar del Plata sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sol de Mayo's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Guillermo Brown 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Guillermo Brown 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Sol de Mayo and 0.9 for Kimberley Mar del Plata. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sol de Mayo 34%, draw 26%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 40%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Sol de Mayo 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sol de Mayo34%fair 2.97 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Kimberley Mar del Plata40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
1.70Expected goals
0.79Sol de Mayo xG
0.91Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
44%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sol de Mayo 0.8 – 0.9 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✓
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.03
–
Form
Sol de Mayo – last 6
WDLWLL
21 Jun
@ Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
31 May
vs Santamarina
3–2
W
24 May
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–1
L
17 May
@ Villa Mitre
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6
WDDLWD
28 Jun
vs Guillermo Brown
3–0
W
20 Jun
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Alvarado
2–2
D
7 Jun
@ Santamarina
0–1
L
30 May
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–0
W
25 May
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sol de Mayo and Kimberley Mar del Plata.
What is the prediction for Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Sol de Mayo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Sol de Mayo 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sol De Mayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
