Value bet: San Martin Formosa to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.49
San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Formosa host Juventud Antoniana in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at 17 De Octubre. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Juventud Antoniana sit 11th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Martin Formosa's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sol de América 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Juventud Antoniana's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Defensores de Vilelas 4–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for San Martin Formosa and 0.7 for Juventud Antoniana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Formosa 61%, draw 25%, Juventud Antoniana 14%.
Safer route: San Martin Formosa or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Value angle: San Martin Formosa to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Juventud Antoniana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Formosa61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Juventud Antoniana14%fair 7.25 · @4.20
2.41Expected goals
1.71San Martin Formosa xG
0.70Juventud Antoniana xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.7 – 0.7 Juventud Antoniana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Martin Formosa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.49
–
Form
San Martin Formosa – last 6
LWLWWL
28 Jun
@ Sol de América
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Boca Unidos
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Tucuman Central
3–2
W
25 May
@ Defensores de Vilelas
3–2
W
17 May
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Juventud Antoniana – last 6
WDLLWD
28 Jun
vs Defensores de Vilelas
4–0
W
20 Jun
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–0
D
13 Jun
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
0–1
L
31 May
@ Sol de América
0–1
L
23 May
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2–0
W
17 May
vs Boca Unidos
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Formosa and Juventud Antoniana.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventud Antoniana 14%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Juventud Antoniana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
