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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio General Jose de San Martin

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.11

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction

The match

San Martín Mendoza host Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin. San Martín Mendoza are 23rd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

San Martín Mendoza's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Costa Brava 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Deportivo Rincon's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Atenas 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for San Martín Mendoza and 0.8 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

San Martín Mendoza50%fair 1.99 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.88
Deportivo Rincon26%fair 3.84 · @3.70
2.04Expected goals
1.25San Martín Mendoza xG
0.78Deportivo Rincon xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.3 – 0.8 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓50%1.992.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.631.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martín Mendoza / FT San Martín Mendoza ✓27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.11–

Form

San Martín Mendoza – last 6

LWDWLL
28 Jun@ Costa Brava1–2L
21 Junvs Huracan Las Heras3–1W
7 Jun@ Atenas0–0D
31 Mayvs Cipolletti1–0W
17 May@ Argentino Monte Maíz1–4L
29 Mar@ Cipolletti0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

LLWLWW
27 Junvs Atenas0–1L
21 Jun@ Cipolletti1–2L
14 Junvs Juventud Unida Univ.2–1W
7 Jun@ Argentino Monte Maíz0–2L
17 Mayvs Costa Brava1–0W
5 Aprvs Argentino Monte Maíz2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Martín Mendoza and Deportivo Rincon.

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Rincon 26%.

How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.