Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDenmark to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceDenmark or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 8.72
Denmark vs Wales preview and prediction
The match
Wales travel to Parken Stadium in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday 27 September (17:00 WAT) to face Denmark. Denmark are 2nd with 6 points from 4 games, while Wales sit 3rd on 3 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Denmark's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Norway 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wales's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Portugal 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Denmark arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Denmark and 0.9 for Wales. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Denmark 67%, draw 19%, Wales 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Denmark to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Denmark 2–0 Wales. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Denmark67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
Wales14%fair 7.16 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.15Denmark xG
0.85Wales xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Denmark 2.1 – 0.9 Wales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denmark to win✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Double chance
Denmark or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Denmark ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denmark / FT Denmark✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
8.72
–
Form
Denmark – last 3
LDW
24 Sep
@ Norway
2–3
L
3 Jun
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
26 Mar
vs FYR Macedonia
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wales – last 4
LLDD
24 Sep
@ Portugal
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Romania
1–2
L
2 Jun
vs Ghana
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Northern Ireland
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denmark and Wales.
Our pick is Denmark to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Denmark vs Wales?
On our numbers Denmark have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Wales 14%.
How many goals will there be in Denmark vs Wales?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Wales?
Our predicted score is Denmark 2–0 Wales, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Denmark vs Wales?
Denmark vs Wales (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parken Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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