Germany vs Greece prediction & analysis
Germany to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Germany 1.9 – 0.6 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Germany are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Greece.
Germany have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Greece have 5 points from their last 5 (1W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Germany come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.9 for Germany, 0.6 for Greece). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Germany to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Germany to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Germany or draw ✗ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Germany ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Germany / FT Germany ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.46 | – |
Form
Germany – last 6
| 24 Sep | @ Netherlands | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jun | vs Paraguay | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jun | @ Ecuador | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | vs Ivory Coast | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs Curaçao | 7–1 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ USA | 2–1 | W |
Greece – last 5
| 24 Sep | @ Serbia | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Jun | vs Italy | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Jun | @ Sweden | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Mar | @ Hungary | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Paraguay | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germany and Greece.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | -5 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
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Rep. Of Ireland3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Germany vs Greece?
Our pick is Germany to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Germany vs Greece?
On our numbers Germany have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Greece 11%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Greece?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Germany vs Greece?
Germany vs Greece (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at WWK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.