Norway vs Portugal prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Norway 1.6 – 1.4 Portugal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Norway hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Portugal.
Norway have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Portugal have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Norway, 1.4 for Portugal). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Norway to win ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.40 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Norway / FT Norway ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.22 | – |
Form
Norway – last 6
| 24 Sep | vs Denmark | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Jul | vs England | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jul | @ Brazil | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | @ Ivory Coast | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | vs France | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Jun | vs Senegal | 3–2 | W |
Portugal – last 6
| 24 Sep | vs Wales | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Jul | vs Spain | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Jul | vs Croatia | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | @ Colombia | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Jun | vs Uzbekistan | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Jun | vs Congo DR | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norway and Portugal.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | -2 | 3 |
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Rep. Of Ireland3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Norway vs Portugal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Norway vs Portugal?
On our numbers Norway have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portugal 35%.
How many goals will there be in Norway vs Portugal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Norway vs Portugal?
Norway vs Portugal (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ullevaal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.