Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Rep. Of Ireland to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Israel 1.1 – 1.4 Rep. Of Ireland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rep. Of Ireland shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 30% for Israel.
Israel have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Rep. Of Ireland have 5 points from their last 4 (1W 2D 1L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Israel, 1.4 for Rep. Of Ireland). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.79. For a bigger price, Rep. Of Ireland to win at 2.60 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rep. Of Ireland to win ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | 2.60 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rep. Of Ireland / FT Rep. Of Ireland ✓ | 27% | 3.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.53 | – |
Form
Israel – last 3
| 24 Sep | @ Austria | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Jun | @ Albania | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | @ Georgia | 2–2 | D |
Rep. Of Ireland – last 4
| 24 Sep | @ Kosovo | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Canada | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | vs Qatar | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs FYR Macedonia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Israel and Rep. Of Ireland.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | -5 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
On our numbers Israel have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rep. Of Ireland 47%.
How many goals will there be in Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Nagyerdei Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.



