Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.69
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova preview and prediction
The match
Fortaleza EC host Vila Nova in the Serie B on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT). Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Vila Nova sit 3rd on 66 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Novorizontino 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vila Nova's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Criciuma 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 July 2026, finished Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Fortaleza EC and 1.0 for Vila Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortaleza EC 40%, draw 28%, Vila Nova 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC40%fair 2.53 · @2.45
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.25
Vila Nova32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
2.21Expected goals
1.18Fortaleza EC xG
1.02Vila Nova xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.0 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Attack vs Serie B average
-1%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.15
0.98
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Vila Nova 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
