Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.47
Criciuma vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Novorizontino travel to Estadio Heriberto Hülse in the Serie B on Saturday 14 November (20:30 WAT) to face Criciuma. Criciuma are 4th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Criciuma's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Vila Nova 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novorizontino's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Fortaleza EC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Novorizontino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 July 2026, finished Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Criciuma and 1.2 for Novorizontino. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Criciuma 0–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Criciuma32%fair 3.11 · @2.75
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @3.00
Novorizontino38%fair 2.60 · @2.60
2.18Expected goals
0.97Criciuma xG
1.21Novorizontino xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.0 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Attack vs Serie B average
-19%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
-27%
Our expected goals here
0.82
1.12
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Novorizontino 38%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 0–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Criciuma vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
