Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Rei PeléCRB vs Ceara prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.39
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CRB 1.9 – 0.8 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CRB are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for Ceara.
CRB have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Ceara have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. CRB come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for CRB, 0.8 for Ceara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, CRB have won 1, Ceara have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.39 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CRB to win | 65% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | CRB or draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.39 |
| Half-time result | CRB ahead at half-time | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CRB / FT CRB | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 12% | 8.30 | – |
Form
CRB – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Nautico Recife | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Nov | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Botafogo SP | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | vs Atletico Goianiense | 3–1 | W |
Ceara – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs America Mineiro | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Nov | @ Athletic Club | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Goias | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Botafogo SP | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Criciuma | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Jul 2026 | Ceara v CRB | 0–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CRB vs Ceara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win CRB vs Ceara?
On our numbers CRB have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ceara 17%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is CRB vs Ceara?
CRB vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.