Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Yokohama F. Marinos take on FC Tokyo on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Nissan Stadium. Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Tokyo's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Machida Zelvia 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished FC Tokyo 3–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.5 for FC Tokyo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yokohama F. Marinos 31%, draw 21%, FC Tokyo 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: FC Tokyo to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yokohama F. Marinos31%fair 3.26 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
FC Tokyo48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
2.65Expected goals
1.14Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.52FC Tokyo xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1 – 1.5 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tokyo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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