Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka travel to Panasonic Stadium Suita in the J1 League on Saturday 11 April (08:00 WAT) to face Gamba Osaka. Gamba Osaka are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gamba Osaka's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Bangkok United 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Nagoya Grampus 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Gamba Osaka and 1.3 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gamba Osaka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gamba Osaka44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Cerezo Osaka35%fair 2.86 · @2.95
2.81Expected goals
1.51Gamba Osaka xG
1.30Cerezo Osaka xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.5 – 1.3 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LWLDWD
8 Apr
vs Bangkok United
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
LLWLLW
4 Apr
@ Nagoya Grampus
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerezo Osaka 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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