Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Avispa Fukuoka take on V-varen Nagasaki on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka are 10th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Shimizu S-pulse 0–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
V-varen Nagasaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.3 for V-varen Nagasaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avispa Fukuoka38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
V-varen Nagasaki38%fair 2.65 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.30Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.30V-varen Nagasaki xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.3 – 1.3 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and V-varen Nagasaki 38%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.