Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
Machida Zelvia host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Machida Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Machida Zelvia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Machida Zelvia and 1.4 for Kashiwa Reysol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia37%fair 2.71 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Kashiwa Reysol38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
2.79Expected goals
1.39Machida Zelvia xG
1.41Kashiwa Reysol xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.4 – 1.4 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashiwa Reysol 38%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.