Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Sanfrecce Hiroshima take on Shimizu S-pulse on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Shimizu S-pulse sit 7th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 3–0 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Shimizu S-pulse 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.7 for Shimizu S-pulse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima69%fair 1.44 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.85
Shimizu S-pulse10%fair 10.38 · @6.00
2.73Expected goals
2.07Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.66Shimizu S-pulse xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 – 0.7 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shimizu S-pulse 10%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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