Machida Zelvia host Kashima in the J1 League on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at National Olympic Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Machida Zelvia and 1.3 for Kashima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia41%fair 2.45 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Kashima35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
2.73Expected goals
1.43Machida Zelvia xG
1.30Kashima xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.4 – 1.3 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
41%
2.45
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWDWWD
14 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Chengdu Better City
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 5
WWWWW
14 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Urawa
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashima 35%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?
Machida Zelvia vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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