Value bet: Tokyo Verdy to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKawasaki Frontale to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Tokyo Verdy take on Kawasaki Frontale on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Kawasaki Frontale sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Urawa 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.6 for Kawasaki Frontale. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 36%, draw 24%, Kawasaki Frontale 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Tokyo Verdy to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy36%fair 2.82 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Kawasaki Frontale41%fair 2.47 · @2.20
3.01Expected goals
1.45Tokyo Verdy xG
1.56Kawasaki Frontale xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.4 – 1.6 Kawasaki Frontale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kawasaki Frontale to win✓
41%
2.47
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kawasaki Frontale / FT Kawasaki Frontale✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Tokyo Verdy – last 4
WLLW
14 Mar
vs Urawa
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kashima
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kawasaki Frontale – last 2
LL
14 Mar
@ Kashima
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs FC Tokyo
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokyo Verdy and Kawasaki Frontale.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kawasaki Frontale 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
Avispa Fukuoka1
Shimizu S-pulse1
Nagoya Grampus2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Vissel Kobe2
Gamba Osaka2
V-varen Nagasaki1
Kyoto Sanga2