Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Cerezo Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✗83% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Fagiano Okayama sit 6th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Kyoto Sanga 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fagiano Okayama's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Kyoto Sanga 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Cerezo Osaka and 0.7 for Fagiano Okayama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerezo Osaka or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.50
Fagiano Okayama17%fair 5.80 · @3.60
2.48Expected goals
1.73Cerezo Osaka xG
0.74Fagiano Okayama xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.7 – 0.7 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Cerezo Osaka or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Cerezo Osaka ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
Cerezo Osaka – last 4
WLLW
14 Mar
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 3
WLD
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fagiano Okayama 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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