Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPatronato to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Patronato take on Chacarita Juniors on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Patronato are 16th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Chacarita Juniors sit 14th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Patronato's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Maipu 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Quilmes 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Patronato and 0.8 for Chacarita Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Patronato 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Patronato44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Chacarita Juniors31%fair 3.19 · @3.35
1.91Expected goals
1.07Patronato xG
0.84Chacarita Juniors xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Patronato 1.1 – 0.8 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Patronato to win✓
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.31
–
Form
Patronato – last 6
DLLDLD
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
DLLLWD
5 May
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
21 Apr
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Patronato and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Patronato have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chacarita Juniors 31%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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