Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Agropecuario to win @ 3.95 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidland to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Midland vs Agropecuario preview and prediction
The match
Midland host Agropecuario in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. Midland are 5th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Agropecuario sit 12th on 46 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Midland's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Deportivo Moron 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Agropecuario's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Gimnasia Y Tiro 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Midland and 0.9 for Agropecuario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Agropecuario to win at 3.95 – 29% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Midland 1–0 Agropecuario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Midland48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.85
Agropecuario29%fair 3.50 · @3.95
2.11Expected goals
1.24Midland xG
0.87Agropecuario xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Midland 1.2 – 0.9 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win✓
48%
2.10
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Midland / FT Midland✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.64
–
Form
Midland – last 6
WDWDDL
23 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Nueva Chicago
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Acassuso
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Almagro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Agropecuario – last 6
WLLDWL
5 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–2
W
21 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–4
L
31 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Nueva Chicago
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midland and Agropecuario.
What is the prediction for Midland vs Agropecuario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Midland vs Agropecuario?
On our numbers Midland have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Agropecuario 29%.
How many goals will there be in Midland vs Agropecuario?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midland vs Agropecuario?
Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Midland vs Agropecuario?
Midland vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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