Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Maipu to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✓64% · @1.90
Double chanceDeportivo Maipu or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.38
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Maipu take on Nueva Chicago on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Deportivo Maipu are 6th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Nueva Chicago sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Maipu's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with Patronato 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nueva Chicago's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Almagro 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nueva Chicago arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Maipu and 0.5 for Nueva Chicago. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Maipu 64%, draw 25%, Nueva Chicago 12%.
Safer route: Deportivo Maipu or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Maipu to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maipu64%fair 1.57 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
Nueva Chicago12%fair 8.50 · @4.33
2.17Expected goals
1.63Deportivo Maipu xG
0.54Nueva Chicago xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.6 – 0.5 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✓
64%
1.57
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Maipu or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.38
–
Form
Deportivo Maipu – last 4
DLLW
19 Apr
@ Patronato
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Atlanta
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nueva Chicago – last 6
LDWDWW
11 May
vs Almagro
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Midland
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Atlanta
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs All Boys
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Agropecuario
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and Nueva Chicago.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
Our pick is Deportivo Maipu to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nueva Chicago 12%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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