Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Ferro Carril Oeste to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54
Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste preview and prediction
The match
Ferro Carril Oeste travel to Estadio Abel Sastre in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 17 May (19:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Madryn. Deportivo Madryn are 4th with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Deportivo Madryn's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with San Martin Tucuman 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ferro Carril Oeste's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Defensores De Belgrano 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ferro Carril Oeste arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Madryn and 1.0 for Ferro Carril Oeste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ferro Carril Oeste to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Deportivo Madryn 1–1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Madryn43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
Ferro Carril Oeste33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
2.20Expected goals
1.20Deportivo Madryn xG
1.00Ferro Carril Oeste xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.2 – 1.0 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win✗
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Form
Deportivo Madryn – last 3
DLL
29 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 4
WLLD
11 May
vs Defensores De Belgrano
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Madryn and Ferro Carril Oeste.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ferro Carril Oeste 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 1–1 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almagro1
San Martin S.J.2
Gimnasia Jujuy1
Temperley0
Patronato2
Chacarita Juniors0
Midland2
Agropecuario0
Deportivo Maipu1
Nueva Chicago0
Gimnasia Y Tiro1
San Martin Tucuman0
Quilmes0
Tristan Suarez1