Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Sacramento Republic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Sacramento Republic take on Colorado Springs on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Heart Health Park. Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Colorado Springs sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sacramento Republic's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with FC Tulsa 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Colorado Springs's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Oakland Roots 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Colorado Springs 0–1 Sacramento Republic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Sacramento Republic and 0.8 for Colorado Springs. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Sacramento Republic or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Sacramento Republic to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sacramento Republic or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sacramento Republic 1–0 Colorado Springs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sacramento Republic62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Colorado Springs15%fair 6.51 · @3.50
2.57Expected goals
1.80Sacramento Republic xG
0.77Colorado Springs xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 Colorado Springs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
Our pick is Sacramento Republic or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colorado Springs 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 Colorado Springs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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