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USL Championship · USA · Southwest University Park

El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

El Paso Locomotive to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.89

El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC preview and prediction

The match

Orange County SC travel to Southwest University Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 11 October (02:00 WAT) to face El Paso Locomotive. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Lexington 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Orange County SC's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Monterey Bay 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Orange County SC 2–0 El Paso Locomotive. Across their last 2 meetings El Paso Locomotive have won 1, Orange County SC 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.0 for Orange County SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was El Paso Locomotive to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

El Paso Locomotive60%fair 1.68 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Orange County SC21%fair 4.67 · @4.40
2.94Expected goals
1.91El Paso Locomotive xG
1.03Orange County SC xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.9 – 1.0 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓60%1.681.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultEl Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive ✓37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.89–

Form

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

LDWWWW
4 Oct@ Lexington1–3L
26 Sepvs FC Tulsa1–1D
20 Sep@ Phoenix Rising3–1W
13 Sep@ Louisville City2–1W
30 Augvs Loudoun United4–1W
27 Augvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

LWLLDD
4 Octvs Monterey Bay1–2L
27 Sepvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0W
20 Sep@ Lexington0–6L
13 Sepvs Las Vegas Lights0–2L
6 Sepvs Sacramento Republic1–1D
30 Aug@ Oakland Roots1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Orange County SC v El Paso Locomotive2–0
26 Apr 2026Orange County SC v El Paso Locomotive1–2
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is El Paso Locomotive to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Orange County SC 21%.

How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.