Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds host Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Highmark Stadium. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Hartford Athletic sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Orange County SC 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hartford Athletic's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Louisville City 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hartford Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Hartford Athletic 0–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.9 for Hartford Athletic. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Hartford Athletic to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Hartford Athletic30%fair 3.35 · @3.60
2.08Expected goals
1.20Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
0.88Hartford Athletic xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.2 – 0.9 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✓
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartford Athletic 30%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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