Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Miami FC to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiami FC to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceMiami FC or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.18
Miami FC vs Loudoun United preview and prediction
The match
Loudoun United travel to Riccardo Silva Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 11 October (00:00 WAT) to face Miami FC. Miami FC are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Loudoun United sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Miami FC's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Loudoun United's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Indy Eleven 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Miami FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Miami FC and 0.9 for Loudoun United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miami FC 62%, draw 24%, Loudoun United 14%.
Safer route: Miami FC or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Miami FC to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Miami FC or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Miami FC 2–0 Loudoun United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miami FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Loudoun United14%fair 6.98 · @3.90
2.94Expected goals
2.03Miami FC xG
0.91Loudoun United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Miami FC 2.0 – 0.9 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Miami FC or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Miami FC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.18
–
Form
Miami FC – last 6
WWWWDD
4 Oct
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–1
W
1 Oct
vs Sporting JAX
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Indy Eleven
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Rhode Island
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Brooklyn
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
DWLLLL
3 Oct
vs Indy Eleven
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Sporting JAX
4–1
W
20 Sep
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Colorado Springs
4–5
L
30 Aug
@ El Paso Locomotive
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Miami FC or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loudoun United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 2–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
Miami FC vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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