Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island preview and prediction
The match
Rhode Island travel to Highmark Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 26 July (00:00 WAT) to face Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Louisville City 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rhode Island's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Hartford Athletic 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.2 for Rhode Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Rhode Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds41%fair 2.47 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Rhode Island35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
2.57Expected goals
1.34Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.23Rhode Island xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.3 – 1.2 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
41%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WLWLDW
18 Jul
vs Louisville City
3–1
W
16 Jul
@ Sporting JAX
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Loudoun United
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Brooklyn
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Indy Eleven
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rhode Island – last 6
WDLDWW
19 Jul
vs Hartford Athletic
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Brooklyn
1–1
D
9 Jul
@ Sacramento Republic
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Orange County SC
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Loudoun United
4–1
W
7 Jun
vs Westchester SC
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Rhode Island.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rhode Island 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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