Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Indy Eleven take on Loudoun United on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Loudoun United sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Detroit City 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Loudoun United's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Indy Eleven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Indy Eleven and 1.0 for Loudoun United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Indy Eleven 59%, draw 22%, Loudoun United 19%.
Safer route: Indy Eleven or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 1–1 Loudoun United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Loudoun United19%fair 5.15 · @4.20
2.87Expected goals
1.89Indy Eleven xG
0.98Loudoun United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.9 – 1.0 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
59%
1.69
1.68
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Indy Eleven ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.33
–
Form
Indy Eleven – last 6
LLWDLW
19 Jul
@ Detroit City
0–2
L
16 Jul
@ Miami FC
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Charleston Battery
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Lexington
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Forward Madison
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
DLDLDL
19 Jul
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Sporting JAX
2–2
D
25 Jun
@ Charleston Battery
1–4
L
21 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Rhode Island
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Loudoun United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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