Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Monterey Bay take on Orange County SC on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 12th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterey Bay's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Phoenix Rising 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Orange County SC's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Colorado Springs 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Monterey Bay and 1.2 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 42%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 1–1 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Orange County SC35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
2.65Expected goals
1.41Monterey Bay xG
1.24Orange County SC xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.4 – 1.2 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterey Bay to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterey Bay / FT Monterey Bay✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Monterey Bay – last 6
LLDWLW
19 Jul
@ Phoenix Rising
2–3
L
12 Jul
vs Las Vegas Lights
2–3
L
5 Jul
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
11 Jun
vs Sporting JAX
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orange County SC – last 6
LDDWWD
12 Jul
vs Colorado Springs
0–3
L
9 Jul
@ Hartford Athletic
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Rhode Island
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ Miami FC
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ New Mexico United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and Orange County SC.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orange County SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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